A message titled: ?Al-Qaeda and the Crisis of Oil Refineries in World,? was recently posted to a password-protected al-Qaeda affiliated forum, which presents a causal analysis between crude and refined oil supplies, oil refineries, and mujahideen strikes upon oil and gas pipelines acting as al-Qaeda?s ?weapon? against the ?crusaders.? The author cites sources such a R. James Woolsey, former Director of the CIA, and Helen Henton, an economist for Standard Chartered Bank, to corroborate his assertions that successful al-Qaeda strikes and fear have raised oil prices and negatively affected the market. Further, the message references British Petroleum (B.P.) oil refinery to be in operation in Azerbaijan, and prays that ?it will not be finished the targeted [inauguration] date.?
The author alleges that the Iraqi import of benzene, in lieu of facing security risks and the rising costs of maintaining its oil infrastructure, will cause the ?increase in oil prices, as al-Qaeda had planned.? Further, the author indicates bad weather conditions and natural disasters, such as hurricanes, have adversely effected refining crude oil and raised prices, and prays that the old refineries be stopped and ?Allah… send a hurricane which will destroy the oil facilities, and make the circumstances convenient to the mujahideen to hit oil refinery plants in the world.?
In a separate posting to a different al-Qaeda affiliated forum, a message lists several attacks directed against oil pipelines in Baghdad and adjunct areas, including al-Latifya, al-Mahmoudya, and Samarra, to which a member questions: ?Why weren?t the oil facilities in the south hit, not even once??
A full translation of the message postings are provided to our Intel Service members.